His dam is stakes winner Promise Me More, by More Than Ready. 5 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 last week, I wrote for Xpressbet.com that unlike fellow [Todd] Pletcher trainees Kingsbarns and Tapit Trice, Fortes Beyers are going into the wrong direction. I pointed out that after Forte registered a 100 Beyer in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, he ran a 98 in the Fountain of Youth, then slid further down to a 95 in the Florida Derby. In nearly every Kentucky Derby prep race, last years winning Beyer figure beat this years Beyer figure. She breezed great today. He followed up with two more victories, including the . ; of $70,000 once since July 25, 1967 or $50,000 twice since December 25, 1966, 6 lbs. Perfect work, Handal said. His fourth place last time out in the Florida Derby was a head . The purse is , 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries Odds and Predictions: Confidence Game The 149th Kentucky Derby (G1) presented by Woodford Reserve will be run on Saturday, May 6, , 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries Odds and Predictions: Disarm The 149th Kentucky Derby (G1) presented by Woodford Reserve will be run on Saturday, May 6, at , 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries Odds and Predictions: Sun Thunder At first glance, its easy to dismiss maiden winner Sun Thunder as a serious contender to , Justifys breeding rights sold for a record $75 Million, Looking Ahead to the Second-Half of the Season in the 3-year-old Division, 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries Odds and Predictions: Angel of Empire, 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries Odds and Predictions: Raise Cain, 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries, Odds, Futures and Predictions: Confidence Game, 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries Odds and Predictions: Disarm, 2023 Kentucky Derby Entries Odds and Predictions: Sun Thunder. Theres different ways to look at that, I think, said trainer Chad Brown, who has Shagaf and My Man Sam in this years race. Since Emblem Road (by Quality Road) won the Saudi Cup, they are fans of Quality Road. So whats the key to Kentuckys post-Will Levis offense? When I dropped Forte from No. Various rules for the Kentucky Derby were quite popular for many years. Beyer Speed Figures assign a numerical value to thoroughbred racehorses in the US and Canada, where the top stakes horses will have numbers in the 100's, while even better performances will be in the 120's. The Beyer Speed number is used exclusively with the Daily Racing Form. We had great participation from established buyers and also new owners, and it was great to see Saudi Arabian participation., Seven of the top 10 highest-priced horses were last-out winners, Keeneland director of sales operations Cormac Breathnach said. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. DIST. Verifying showed no signs of distance limitations in his losing effort. Michael is a pharmacist by profession, author of Masten Gregory: Totally Fearless as well as a horse racing blog that can be found at: www.thederbyhandicapper.com. He has won 10 times on dirt, including seven stakes at distances ranging from six furlongs to a mile, and three times on turf, including the Sensational Star Stakes on the hillside turf course in March 2022. Brickyard Ride, who races for owner and breeder Sonny Pais, has won 13 of 25 starts and earned $816,977. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. final Derby prep. Hoffman Thoroughbreds and Tom McCrocklins Promiseher America recorded her final serious piece of work in preparation for the Grade 1, $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks on May 6 at Churchill Downs, when going a half-mile in 49.77 seconds over a fast Belmont Park training track. Justify (foaled March 28, 2015) is an American Thoroughbred racehorse who is known for being the thirteenth winner of the American Triple Crown.He also was the first horse since Apollo in 1882 to win the Kentucky Derby without racing as a two-year-old.. He didnt want to see any horses in front of him. Based at Keeneland, Ward owns a farm next to the track where he privately stands Hootenanny, winner of the 2014 Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot in England and Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf (G1T). 8. Email. Although this isnt the Golden Era of horse racing we experienced in the 1970s, its feeling pretty close. The single-session sale, which grossed $6.7 million, recorded across-the-board increases over 2022. 3. This came after she started a half-beat slow and raced through traffic during the early stages. Scan here to talk with someone now about your gambling. Jon White Breaks Down American Pharoah's Speed Figures It's normally not smart to direct our readers to another website to read content not written by the Dudes or someone on our staff. Beyer: American Pharoah : 1 1/16m (ft) SA 9/27: 99: 101: Bayerd : 6 f (ft) RP 9/28: 99: 93: Ostrolenka : 1 m (ft) BEL 9/28: 94: 90: Goodoldhockeygame : 6 f (ft) WO 9/27 . By finishing first in the Lexington, First Mission earned 20 points toward a berth in the Kentucky Derby. But Medina Spirit was disqualified due to testing positive for traces of betamethasone, a medication that is legal to use but not on race day. website is for entertainment purposes only. Country House was declared the winner of the 2019 Kentucky Derby. HORSE. People are coming. Secretariats Paris home honoring him with park, mural and sculpture. The same information is included for the trainer. Handal added that Jorge Vargas, Jr., aboard for the Gazelle victory, would most likely retain the mount for the Oaks. He attributes his love for horse racing to two things: his grandfather who used to listen to horse races on the radio broadcasted from the now defunct Ak-Sar-Ben race track in Omaha, Nebraska and a Sports Illustrated subscription in the 1970s. Angel of Empire 5. Knowing how to read a horse racing form is a useful tool when placing bets on a race, like the 149th Kentucky Derby, whether you're a first-time bettor or a veteran. And his speed figures have also improved with every race to the point where his Thoro-Graph number in the Withers has not been topped by any 3-year-old. Perhaps Justify and McKinzie will meet up in the same race sometime in August or September. Verifying FIRST MISSION TAKES LEXINGTON STAKES First Mission announced his candidacy for the Preakness Stakes by winning the Grade III Lexington Stakes at Keeneland last Saturday (April 15). American Pharoah ran a 105 to win last years Arkansas Derby; Creator a 96 this year. Andy has said on previous occasions . Hell go to the Middle East to race there. With his horses having earned $229,584,945, Baffert is into the top five all-time having recently passed the great Bobb Frankel's $227,912,709. Photo: Keeneland Photo/Photos by ZInto Mischief colt Talladega consigned as Hip 76 at theKeeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale, Hes just a lovely horse, said Tom Clark, who signed the ticket. If it fits, well take a shot in there, Handal said. We were looking for older horses, and I did not know there were 2-year-olds here, Lanz said. Bred in Kentucky by Robert and Lawana Low, Promiseher America is out of the Unbridleds Song mare Promisedyouheaven, whose dam Hurricane Bernie is a half-sister to dual Grade 1 Breeders Cup Turf Sprint winner Mizdirection [2012-13]. But Justify has proven thus far that he is the best in this 3-year-old class. As I see it, another negative for Forte in the Kentucky Derby is hes been unable to be first or second a furlong out in both of his last two starts. OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. He proved a punctual 2-1 favorite in the 1 1/16-mile contest, edging 7-2 Arabian Lion by a half-length. Dick Jerardi Preakness Picks: Bet Epicenter (+120) at BetOnline. On the top right is a breakdown of a horse's career statistics, broken down by year as well as how it has fared on different surfaces. it is a grade i race run over a distance of 9.5 furlongs ( 1. This sale is really evolving, and there is a lot of energy and enthusiasm surrounding it. Were very happy., Lanz said Carmel Road was their main target in this sale., They are trying to get the best horses in North America to compete at the best level, Lanz said about KAS Stables. Gamely, the only filly in the field and a future Hall of Famer herself, finished second. They are listed below: 1. It usually takes a triple-digit BSF to win the Kentucky Derby. (Exceptions: Apollo in 1882 and Justify in 2018. David Ingordo, agent, paid $310,000 for the 4-year-old Dialed In ridgling Peaceful Waters , who earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure when he captured a Keeneland allowance race April 16 in his 2023. Kentucky Derby betting terms:Everything you need to know about placing an online bet. It is tough to pull off a Triple Crown championship. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Here is a look at the highest speed figures in Del Mar's big races. He is from the family of grade 1-placed National Treasure. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. And to win this years Kentucky Derby, you dont have to be the fastest horse in the history of the race. History shows that a horse with zero strikes or only one strike has a much better chance to win the Kentucky Derby than a horse with two strikes or more. Skinner 8. Future Hall of Famer Dr. Fager won the Californian by an easy three lengths, according to Heberts story. And I think he has a few more big wins left in the tank. This points out horses who have the proper foundation and/or stamina for the Kentucky Derby distance. It was more of a thank you for Keeneland for all these years of being kind to me.. The client liked him. David Ingordo, agent, paid $310,000 for the 4-year-old Dialed In ridglingPeaceful Waters, who earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure when he captured a Keeneland allowance race April 16 in his 2023 debut. ( 54) Sun Thunder 15. American Pharoah won by a similar margin in 2015 to complete an almost perfect 3-year-old season. . Frequently Asked Questions. A good Beyer Speed Figure is anything above 100; a figure 115 or greater means the horse is considered among the best in the United States. Download Today's Edition A horse that is 7-4-1-2 has seven starts, won four times, finished second once and third twice. 261 Practical Move (1) 4. Next, he dropped to a 102 BSF when he won the Tampa Bay Derby by a nose in his first start at 3. Hoffman Thoroughbreds and Tom McCrocklinsPromiseher Americarecorded her final serious piece of work in preparation for the Grade 1, $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks on May 6 at Churchill Downs, when going a half-mile in 49.77 seconds over a fast Belmont Park training track. Note: No. By this I mean, a Triple Crown championship plus wins in the Breeders Cup Classic and the Pegasus World Cup the latter two races having North Americas largest purses. Since Decidedly won the Derby in 1962 when he was third with a furlong to go, the only four Kentucky Derby winners who were not first or second with a furlong to run were Grindstone, fourth with a furlong to run in 1996; Giacomo, sixth with a furlong to go in 2005; Animal Kingdom, third a furlong out in 2011 when only a half-length from being second; and Rich Strike, third with a furlong to go in 2022. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Did Secretariat change the sport of horse racing? THE GRADED STAKES CATEGORY. Flightline earned a 121 Beyer Speed Figure [23] for this Breeders' Cup Classic win, which ranks as the third fastest Beyer Speed Figure run in any Breeders' Cup Classic behind the 1989 Classic in which both Sunday Silence and Easy Goer ran 124 speed figures, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race along with the In a tremendous demonstration of weight-carrying ability that year, he never -- I repeat never -- raced with less than 130 pounds. Main Track: more than one mile. She did it all in-hand just floating over the ground. But then I remembered just what a fantastic race Zenyatta ran to win her BC Classic. This colt has been second to Cave Rock in the grade 1 American Pharoah and third to Forte and Cave Rock in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile. THE GAMENESS CATEGORY. The list is below: 1. (This year that would be Exaggerator.). Still, he did not need to go to war with a great pacesetter such as Life Is Good. The preakness stakes is an american thoroughbred horse race held on the third saturday in may each year at pimlico race course in baltimore, maryland. Even though she seems like she would go a one-turn mile just fine, I think we just stick to what we know for now and then explore down the line.. Peaceful Waters, who was consigned by Hunter Valley Farm, agent, is from the family of champion Soaring Softly, Grade 1 winner Plenty of Grace and Grade 2 winner Manitoulin. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. Since Justify did not race as a 2-year-old, we really need to focus on their 3-year-old campaigns and, more specifically, their Grade 1 stakes races. The three-year-old won in a deep G2 UAE Derby in the Middle East to land a starting spot, and his late speed shown that day could make for a fascinating contender. A good Beyer Speed Figure is anything above 100; a figure 115 or greater means the horse is considered among the best in the United States. ( 45) Reincarnate 20. For context: The highest BSF since he created the system was a 133 by Groovy in 1987. 2022 preakness tv coverage and post time . ( 60) Rocket Can 11. And Bolt dOro faded badly in his last start (his first against older foes) the Met Mile. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. I created a table that lists both the fastest lifetime speed figure and most recent speed figure for each horse. Then study the distances the horse has run and the track conditions in the next column. According to Benoit, the conversation went like this: Benoit: I have some bad news regarding Dr. Fager. Nerud: Did something happen to the horse on the plane? Benoit: No, no. 53 Confidence Game, watch Dr. Fagers victory in the 1968 Californian on YouTube, Jon White: Beyer Figures vis-a-vis the Kentucky Derby. He had zero strikes. Carmel Road, who sold for $260,000 to Pedro Lanz, agent for KAS Stables, was runner-upin the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) to Practical Move, second on the list of leading point earners to the May 6Kentucky Derby (G1). Real-time updates and all local stories you want right in the palm of your hand. We were looking for a (son of) Quality Road for racing in Saudi Arabia, Lanz said. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. Or call toll-free 1-877-8-HOPE-NY. A horse with 2-1 odds is a strong favorite, whereas one with 80-1 odds, like last year's Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike, are longshots to win but present the biggest payout on a bet. (160) Practical Move 3. 342 Forte (29) 2. 182 Kingsbarns (1) 6. ; of $30,000 since December 25, 1966, $13,000 twice since May 9, 1967 or $13,000 since April 8, 1968, 12 lbs. It was exactly what I wanted. As of last weekend at race books in Las Vegas, Forte was listed as the Kentucky Derby favorite at anywhere from 9-5 to 5-2. American Pharoah's Preakness: 102 Beyer Speed Figure, 100 BRIS Speed Figure Justify's Preakness: 97 Beyer Speed Figure, 98 BRIS Speed Figure. But for now, Justify would rank in my top 25 American thoroughbreds of all-time by virtue of his Triple Crown championship. 2 to No. Please confirm With Justifys breeding rights sold for a record $75 Million, I wouldnt count on it. Forbidden Kingdom also turned back a trio of Baffert-trained colts in the race,. Philip Gleaves, Steven Crist, Ken deRegt and Bryan Hilliards New York-bred Thin White Duke and Gleaves, Joseph Straus, Jr., and Hugh Fitzsimons Yes and Yes both made their seasonal debut in an April 13 optional claimer sprinting six furlongs over the Aqueduct outer turf, finishing a respective fifth and fourth with off-the-pace trips. (190) Forte 2. Everything you need to know about placing an online bet, Here's your complete guide to the 2023 race, Who has won the most Kentucky Derby races and other facts you should know, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. I know Yes and Yes will handle it as hes won well at that distance and loves the course, said Donk. He then declined further to only a 93 BSF in his nose defeat when second in the Blue Grass Stakes. The strikes for each Kentucky Derby winner going back to 1973 are listed below: 2022 Rich Strike (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 3) 2021 Mandaloun (1 strike) Category 4* 2020 race run in September 2019 Country House (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 3** 2018 Justify (2 strikes) Categories 1 and 7 2017 Always Dreaming (1 strike) Category 1 2016 Nyquist (0 strikes) 2015 American Pharoah (0 strikes) 2014 California Chrome (0 strikes) 2013 Orb (0 strikes) 2012 Ill Have Another (0 strikes) 2011 Animal Kingdom (0 strikes) 2010 Super Saver (1 strike) Category 4 2009 Mine That Bird (4 strikes) Categories 1, 4, 5 and 9 2008 Big Brown (0 strikes) 2007 Street Sense (0 strikes) 2006 Barbaro (0 strikes) 2005 Giacomo (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 5 2004 Smarty Jones (0 strikes) 2003 Funny Cide (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 8 2002 War Emblem (0 strikes) 2001 Monarchos (0 strikes) 2000 Fusaichi Pegasus (1 strike) Category 6 1999 Charismatic (1 strike) Category 5 1998 Real Quiet (0 strikes) 1997 Silver Charm (1 strike) Category 4 1996 Grindstone (0 strikes) 1995 Thunder Gulch (0 strikes) 1994 Go for Gin (0 strikes) 1993 Sea Hero (2 strikes) Categories 3 and 5 1992 Lil E. Tee (0 strikes) 1991 Strike the Gold (0 strikes) 1990 Unbridled (1 strike) Category 3 1989 Sunday Silence (0 strikes) 1988 Winning Colors (0 strikes) 1987 Alysheba (1 strike) Category 2 1986 Ferdinand (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 4 1985 Spend a Buck (0 strikes) 1984 Swale (0 strikes) 1983 Sunnys Halo (1 strike) Category 1 1982 Gato Del Sol (1 strike) Category 3 1981 Genuine Risk (1 strike) Category 1 1980 Pleasant Colony (0 strikes) 1979 Spectacular Bid (0 strikes) 1978 Affirmed (0 strikes) 1977 Seattle Slew (0 strikes) 1976 Bold Forbes (0 strikes) 1975 Foolish Pleasure (0 strikes) 1974 Cannonade (2 strikes) Categories 3 and 4 1973 Secretariat (0 strikes) *Medina Spirit (0 strikes) finished first but was disqualified from purse money **Maximum Security (0 strikes) finished first but was disqualified and placed 17th MY DERBY STRIKES SYSTEMS CATEGORIES What are the eight categories in my Derby Strikes System? Those 20 points are all that First Mission has earned, which are not early nearly enough to get into the Kentucky Derby starting gate. Theyre both on target and were looking forward to running next Saturday, said Donk. All but two winners Animal Kingdom in 2011 and Mine That Bird in 2009 had run at least a 95 Beyer figure before the Derby. You just have to be the fastest horse in the race on Saturday. Curlin, No. The Triple Crown winner notched a career-high 120 Beyer Speed Figure in his final race while also setting a Keeneland track record time of 2:00.07 for the rarely used 1 1/4-mile distance.. Knowing how to decipher the form can make you a more informed bettor. Frosted ran a 103 to win last years Wood Memorial; Outwork a 93 this year. ( 40) Mandarin Hero 26. The 2015 class had better times and/or speed figures at this point of the season. Beyer Speed Figures Explained | Odds Shark Sports NBA Betting Sites Odds Futures Picks Consensus Matchups and Scores Standings Stats Game Logs Betting Trends Power Rankings Referee Stats Team Reports Database NHL Betting Sites Odds Futures Picks Consensus Matchups and Scores Standings Stats Game Logs Betting Trends Power Rankings Team Reports 91 In Italian 10. He needs to beat the best in the older horse division before he can knock American Pharoah from his throne. Trainer Ray Handal will saddle Merrylegs Farm's homebred Listentoyourheart, who ran a field-best 100 Beyer Speed Figure in a last-out seven-furlong state-bred allowance event on April 7 at the Big A. Trainer, breeder and co-owner Michelle Nevin's seasoned veteran My Boy Tate will vie for a seventh stakes victory. ; older 127 lbs. Fager set and tied records from seven furlongs to a mile and a quarter, slashing the world mile mark to 1:32 1/5 en route, Hatton wrote. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. It was a last-minute call. through 04/28/2023. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Going back to 1937, horses unraced as a 2-year-old now are a combined 1 for 67 in the Kentucky Derby through 2022. The odds for each horse are listed under their post number for the race. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. Maybe well have a horse for the Saudi Cup next year. ; of $75,000 once or $30,000 twice since December 25, 1966, 9 lbs. Useful or useless, the Beyers provide one way to compare horses. LEXINGTON, Ky. -- After American Pharoah rolled to a win Saturday in the Breeders' Cup Classic at Keeneland, trainer Bob Baffert quipped, "You'll probably get that big Beyer you guys were looking for today. 285 Tapit Trice (4) 3. For me, the standard by which to judge 3-year-olds the last 143 years has been the Triple Crown. Only once from 1992 to the present has a Kentucky Derby winner had a declining Beyer pattern similar to Fortes. Daily Racing Form publishes the par Beyer Speed Figure for most classes, and such pars are based on years of raw time data. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. After Street Senses 93 BSF in the Blue Grass, he took a giant leap to a 110 Beyer when he won the 2007 Kentucky Derby by 2 1/2 lengths. Justify has four Grade 1 wins to date. ( 45) Cyclone Mischief 24. She was last seen finishing second in the Grade 3 Distaff Handicap on April 7 at the Big A, which ended a five-race win streak. Going to take him to Laurel (Park) and give him to (trainer) Brittany Russell. Overall, we can only hope Justifys ownership group races him in at least three more Grade 1 races for the benefit of the sport. The comments on the far right also can provide insight into how the horse performed that day. It was a very fast course over there that day and it was a good steppingstone. I really didnt have any big intention on selling her, Ward said. The Beyer Speed Figure for American Pharoah's BC Classic: 120 American Pharoah disposed of Effinex, Tonalist started to back up, and the Triple Crown winner began to extend his lead. The conditions for the 1968 Californian stated the following: 3-year-olds 113 lbs. All information provided by this About NYRA | The mile is still a bit of a question mark, Handal said. Is betting him to win at such a short price a good idea? Justify made it look easy. 253 Angel of Empire 5. strictly prohibited. Churchill Downs lists six other possibilities, all hoping for a defection or defections from the current 20-horse field. It's also worth noting if the jockey has ridden the horse before, and how successful they've been together, or if it's the first time. (150) Tapit Trice 5. His 82 percent win rate of top-20 earners sits behind only Zenyatta (95 percent), Invasor (92 percent) and Smarty Jones (89 percent). +. Justify needs to race more. Since his Del Mar Futurity (GI) win last fall, he reeled off nine consecutive Beyer Speed Figures at 100 or above. Some of these horses are a little lightly raced and theyre improving. Its fun to have them because theyre good horses, and theyre able to run in stakes races, which is always fun for everyone in the stable and fun for the owners, said Donk. Laoban would get in first, then Cherry Wine if a second horse scratches. Thats because two of my eight categories deal with graded stakes races. Based on an . Most recently second, beaten 1 lengths in the Grade I Del Mar Futurity going seven furlongs on Sept. 7 . Donk said it is special to train both Thin White Duke and Yes and Yes, who moved to his barn last spring when their previous conditioner, co-owner Gleaves, retired from training.
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